The original piece in Russian was published in
Gorby and is being republished here with the author’s permission.
Political research on youth is often a response to specific events in which young people play a prominent role, such as the protests in Russia in
2017 and
2021. Such research is inevitably driven either by hopes for political change or fears that young people will be at the forefront of political unrest.
As a rule, these hopes turn out to be unfounded, and the fears exaggerated. This happens because the focus on youth distorts the scale of the processes being considered (they are given excessive importance).
This distortion can be avoided by studying the moods of young people as part of broader monitoring of public opinion.
Using data from long-term Levada Center surveys, below we will consider how the political sympathies of Russian youth have changed over the past quarter century – more specifically, what young Russians think about the country’s political leadership, as well as at what points and why their views changed.
We will not rely on generational theory, which divides society into groups based on their age and past experiences. Instead, we will look at youth as an organic part of Russian society. As such, young people are subject to overarching social, political and economic processes, though due to their specific characteristics, they may react to these processes somewhat differently than people of other ages.
We will consider the opinions of the youngest Russians regularly polled – those aged 18 to 24.
Before considering their political preferences and attitudes toward the regime, let’s look at some characteristics of young people everywhere.
Universal characteristicsOne of these characteristics is the so-called “digital gap,” which is reflected in young people’s proficiency in using mobile devices, the internet and social media compared to older people.
For young people, these are natural things that they have learned early on. Meanwhile, older people generally find it hard to master something new. Thus, the digital gap affects Russia as much as any other country.
In Levada Center surveys, this gap is clearly visible in questions about where respondents get news about what is happening in the country and the world. For example, in January Russians under 25 were much less likely to get news from television than their compatriots aged 55 and older (35% versus 83%), with the opposite true for social media (62% versus 25%) and Telegram channels (56% versus 14%).
Similarly, while 89% of young Russians visit social media daily, only 31% of older Russians do so (about half of them do not use social media at all).
Though older Russians have long been on the internet, most have been able to master only the most basic things, like making calls via messengers and watching videos. Unlike young people, they struggle with navigating the array of online resources. That said, assessing the quality of information on the internet can be difficult for the youngest generation as well, since they have little experience in critically perceiving reality.