Roland Bathon
Before the Ukraine war, Russia could be called an autocracy. Opposition activity was only possible under increasing restrictions, though there was still a critical press – those who refrained from activism were free to express opposition privately as they wished.
Since the war began, totalitarian elements have appeared, according to many experts. This is reflected in the fact that society increasingly must show an active commitment to the doctrine of the “Russian world,” composed of all sorts of bits and pieces of Russian history. The content of this state doctrine is now also being incorporated into the educational system. At the same time, almost any form of opposition was de facto made impossible by law. Given these developments, some members of the opposition are already warning of a new “fascist regime.”
However, this is by no means a consensus, even among recognized Russian regime critics. Abbas Gallyamov, a one-time speechwriter for Vladimir Putin and now a Kremlin expert in emigration, does not believe that Russian society is already fascist. In view of the unfolding events, he considers Russia “divided and confused.”
In fact, the emergence of totalitarian elements does not yet indicate totalitarian rule – even if the government aspires to it. As Gallyamov points out, establishing totalitarian rule requires solid power and a long time. Currently, power depends on the support of the majority of the population. At the beginning of the war, many succumbed to a nationalist frenzy. Economic problems, however, will hit the population hard in the coming months. Russian analyst Andrey Pertsev believes that popular support for the government will fall if the bitter war is not won quickly and leads to impoverishment.
The opposition is not dead either. In the metropolises, among the younger and educated resistance to the war is still strong. These people, who are Westernized, have nothing to do with the rising “Russian world.” Only bureaucratic higherups, consumed by self-interest and corruption, appear reliable.
A fascist state is not only totalitarian, but also characterized by extremist right-wing thinking – which distinguishes it from totalitarian communism, for example.