The process of decolonization is important and necessary. And it will happen someday. But it should take place inside Russia, and not on Twitter. And it will not necessarily be done the way those who today, at the height of the war, are speculating on the topic of defeat and the collapse of Russia, picture it in their fantasies.
Do you not get the feeling that all of us, including experts and journalists, let’s say, of an anti-Putin persuasion, are creating information products for people with our own views and those around us. And that the people from whom we expect changes and reflection do not even know about our existence, and if they did hear something, it was through the prism of propaganda? How can we overcome this information isolation? And should we try?
Every person lives in an echo chamber. Each person filters news from the outside world in such a way as to get only the information that he likes. Nevertheless, you can get the people to hear you, but it requires [having] that goal and resources.
But let’s admit that many mistakes were made at the beginning of the war, especially in agitation. It seemed to many that this was all some kind of terrible misunderstanding and would soon end, that the culprits would be punished. Of course, it is now clear that it was naive to believe so.
And what should those Russians think now whom their anti-war countrymen tried to convince at the beginning of the war that Putin and his army would soon be defeated, and Putin himself would go to The Hague? None of this happened, even two years on. And it is unclear how it will all end. But it turns out that those people lied to them, which means there is even more reason to believe Putin’s propaganda.
And most importantly: you can prove something to someone only if the person is wavering in his views. If a person is a convinced, ideological Putinist and a supporter of this special operation, then it is useless to waste time arguing with him. You just have to come to terms with the fact that Putin’s die-hard supporters are approximately 10-15% – it is the case and will be so.
Let’s wrap up: what should we all, both in Russia and abroad, get ready for?
In my opinion, the intense stage of the Ukraine conflict will last at least another year. Most likely – two years. Maybe three or four. I would be happy to be wrong, but if I were asked for advice, I would recommend planning your future based on that outlook. And not based on the assumption that soon everything will get better and life will return to normal. Unfortunately, nothing will ever return to how it was.