Let’s test this assumption using the latest data.
Systemically important intoxicationIn 2023, as we have seen, Russians’ alcohol purchases increased slightly. But has this growth continued? For 2024, there are only alcohol production figures so far. Yet they hardly contradict the consumption trends.
In January-August of this year, Russia
produced, in volume terms, 2.7% more vodka than in the same period of 2023, 31.6% more wine, 17.8% more cognac and 9.0% more beer. Apparently, demand is still growing.
That the alcohol market in today’s Russia is thriving is supported, for example, by the fact that, according to
Forbes, the most successful Russian billionaire in 2023 was Sergei Studennikov, the founder of the retail chain Red & White (
Krasnoe & Beloe), which specializes in inexpensive alcohol and snacks. His fortune more than doubled over the year (growing 112%), the only Russian billionaire to accomplish that feat.
Russians are clearly drawn to alcohol. But now it is different than in the past. From the 16th century until the early 1990s, vodka was
the foundation of state finances. Under the tsars, from Ivan the Terrible to Nikolai II (and his Prime Minister
Sergei Witte), the state wine monopoly in its various iterations brought in more for the regime than any other tax. And significantly more than similar levies in any other major country.
Under Catherine the Great, when the empire was expanding faster than ever, wine revenues made up 50% of the budget. Even in a much more advanced era, in 1913, right before World War I, the state earned 26% of its income by taxing alcohol.
Under Soviet rule, this figure was on average slightly lower, but the contribution of alcohol to state coffers remained significant from the mid-1920s through the 1980s.
Getting Russians drunk seems to be a systemically important factor for all political regimes in Russia. This resulted in mounting problems, which were twice dealt with by paroxysms of
fighting subjects’ alcoholism. Coincidentally or not, both times this happened on the eve of the collapse of the system: in 1914 (Nikolai II’s vodka prohibition) and in 1985 (Gorbachev’s anti-alcohol campaign).
Drinking dynamicsWe shall now trace the historical turning point that took place in the second half of the last century. (The following
calculations of alcohol consumption in Russia appear to be the most reliable
.)
In the 1950s and 1960s, per capita alcohol consumption (legally and illegally sold alcohol combined; in pure alcohol terms) fluctuated around 11.5 liters per year before starting to grow, reaching 14.2 liters in 1984 (of which 10.5 liters was legally sold).
In 1987, at the peak of Gorbachev’s anti-alcohol campaign, consumption fell to 10.5 liters, with 60% (6.3 liters) being illegally sold alcohol, mainly moonshine (
samogon).
The campaign eventually fizzled out.