The report also documents survival strategies. These include localizing activity and focusing on work “on the ground” instead of open political actions; creating “third places” as spaces of trust and recruitment; developing horizontal structures that enable rapid adaptation; and seeking allies abroad. “Safe” spheres such as animal welfare and ecology have a specific role: they provide entry points into activism for people far removed from politics and help develop skills needed for collective action.
New initiatives are emerging outside of animal welfare and ecology too. After the invasion of Ukraine, many well-known projects emigrated or closed, eventually replaced by new ones created by people without prior activist experience. These new projects avoid drawing the authorities’ attention: they do not register as legal entities, use informal financial schemes and use horizontal structures instead of a centralized leadership. Collective decision-making, where everyone has a veto, reduces the risk of organizational paralysis when individual participants are persecuted.
An analysis of digital footprints shows shifting dynamics. Protest and politically charged discussions are more common on Telegram, while VK, far more obedient to the authorities, remains a platform for “safer” and prowar initiatives. Animal rights communities attract and bring people together better than others. Environmental projects, by contrast, are almost invisible in public social networks due to strict digital security measures. Regional differences are also apparent: in Moscow and St Petersburg, the level of human rights discourse and reflexive solidarity is higher, while in regions outside of the “two capitals” many initiatives are dependent on state resources.
Foresight sessions with experts confirmed the main findings of the study and helped improve forecasts for the near future. These discussions considered scenarios of a further tightening of the screws, restricted access to the internet and changes in donor support. Suggested survival strategies include building resource centers for NGOs, providing psychological support for activists, adopting hybrid work formats and expanding cooperation with more protected structures, including religious communities. Such partnerships, the researchers note, are complicated and far from black and white. Activists cannot be neatly divided into pro-government or opposition, the report’s authors
told Meduza – rather, they are trying to survive and work under extremely difficult conditions, which often forces compromise.
The report concludes that participation in independent initiatives in Russia remains extremely risky, yet this does not mean civil society has disappeared. Instead, it changes form, reassembles, adapts and finds new ways to grow. The boundaries between “civic” and “political” activism are eroding: local initiatives are both a way of pursuing individuals’ civic interests and a form of political resistance. Even in the face of repression, practices like helping war victims, supporting political prisoners and working with vulnerable groups persist.
The future of Russian civil society depends largely on the sustainability of reflexive solidarity practices. These enable people to overcome divisions, build connections across differences and preserve the moral dimension of collective action. The report’s authors conclude that civil society in Russia has not vanished. It continues to exist as a rhizome – a flexible and fluctuating network that, despite immense pressure, retains the capacity to endure.